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Analysis of trade cooperation of the Czech Republic and ASEAN countries
Potáčková, Natálie
The aim of the thesis is to analyze the trade cooperation between the Czech Republic and ASEAN countries. The thesis examines the scope and content of trade between selected countries, the cooperation between countries is increasing due to the liberalization of trade and bilateral relations. The theoretical part defines main concepts that are associated with international trade, trade policy, trade and bilateral relations between the countries. The analytical part is dedicated to correlation, cluster analysis, a composite indicator and convergence. Finally, the obtained results are discussed and several recommendations for trade cooperation are suggested.
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Effect of CNB's Monetary Intervention on Czech Exports to Germany
Krejčí, Tadeáš ; Šopov, Boril (advisor) ; Svačina, David (referee)
The primary interest of the thesis consists in impact of the Czech National Bank's monetary intervention on the volumes of Czech exports to Germany. To determine the significance of the potential casual effect, a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model is constructed based on economic introspection and previous findings of other authors, to be subsequently estimated using the lucid method of least squares. Based on this procedure, we find evidence supporting the positive causal effect at hand. The results also confirm the presence of a structural break into periods before and after the initiation of controlled float regime. Furthermore, indications of casual effects are encountered in cases of other macroeconomic variables, such as German exports, supporting the reasoning in earlier works relating to this topic. JEL Classification E50, E51, E58, C51, C53 Keywords ForEx intervention, exports determination factors, foreign reserves, monetary policy Author's e-mail teddy.krejci@gmail.com Supervisor's e-mail boril.sopov@gmail.com
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